Trucks kick off NASCAR's week at Bristol
Autoracing Betting Lines
08/17/2010 - Bristol, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Camping World Truck. Date: Wednesday, August 18. Race: O'Reilly 200. Site: Bristol Motor Speedway. Track: .533-mile oval. Start time: 8:00 p.m. (et). Laps: 200. Miles: 106.6. 2009 winner: Kyle Busch. Television: SPEED. Radio: Motor Racing Network(MRN)/SIRIUS NASCAR Radio.
The Camping World Truck Series will run on Wednesday night at Bristol, and what a treat this race should be. Todd Bodine will attempt to win his third truck race in a row, while Kyle Busch will try to win at Bristol for the third consecutive year.
Bodine, the current points leader, won at Nashville on August 7 and then took Darlington one week later.
But short-track racing has not been one of Bodine's specialties in the series. He has yet to win in 40 short-track starts. The 2006 series champion does have six runner-up finishes on short tracks, including three at Bristol.
Bodine now holds a 231-point advantage over Aric Almirola, which is the largest points lead after the first 15 races of the season in series history. If you think the champagne already is on ice for Bodine's second truck title -- guess again.
"It's never over," Bodine said. "We're not going to approach it that way. I say this every week, there's just too many good race teams. Fortunately for us, every week somebody is having a problem. That's kept helping us build this points lead. Somewhere along the line it could be our week to have the problem. We can't look back. We got to keep doing the things we know how to do and control the things within in our control and try to control our destiny."
Bodine finished 32nd in the 2009 race at Bristol.
After the 15th race during the 2005 season, Dennis Setzer held a 227-point lead over Ted Musgrave, but Musgrave rallied in the final 10 events to win the truck championship by 58 points over Setzer.
Busch is the two-time defending race winner at Bristol. Last year, Busch led the final 75 laps and beat Matt Crafton by nearly three seconds for the win. He also prevented Ron Hornaday Jr. from extending his series record to six consecutive victories. Hornaday finished third.
"I love the place," Busch said. "It's fun for the drivers, and it's fun for the fans. For some reason, I have really taken to the new surface. I loved the old surface, but I really like the new one, too. We've been fast every time we've been at Bristol in a truck, and we've been able to capitalize on that in the last two years and go to victory lane. Obviously, we would like to make it three in a row."
Busch has two truck wins so far this season -- Nashville in April and Charlotte the following month.
Forty teams are on the preliminary entry list for the O'Reilly 200.
Bristol, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Nationwide. Date: Friday, August 20. Race: Food City 250. Site: Bristol Motor Speedway. Track: .533-mile oval. Start time: 8:00 p.m. (et). Laps: 250. Miles: 133.25. 2009 winner: David Ragan. Televis
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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